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| Chester Wilmot, Ph.D., PE | Transportation Engineering | 3513C Patrick F. Taylor Hall | (225) 578-4697 | (225) 578-8652 | cewilm@eng.lsu.edu |
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RESEARCH INTEREST
- Hurricane Evacuation Demand Estimation
- Traffic safety
- Data collection for transportation planning
- Transferability of transportation planning data.
Current Research Activities
Modeling Hurricane Evacuation Traffic Various methods of hurricane evacuation demand estimation were investigated, including the use of logistic regression, neural networks, and discrete choice modeling. A time-dependent sequential logit model was estimated on survey data from hurricanes Andrew in Louisiana, and Floyd in South Carolina, to produce a model that is sensitive to characteristics of the storm, the area being threatened, and the population in the area. The Gravity and Intervening Opportunity Model formulations were tested as to their ability to reproduce aggregate evacuation destination choice. Current research is aimed at establishing a disaggregate destination choice model that is sensitive to dynamic conditions in the network and at the destination. Other research is aimed at collecting stated preference data on dynamic evacuation behavior.
Statewide Traffic Safety Study The objective of this study is to identify and quantify the factors contributing to highway crashes in Louisiana. Phase I of the project included a review of studies conducted to identify factors affecting road safety, and a review of data, legislation, programs, and funding related to road safety. This part of the study is reported in Louisiana Transportation Research Center Technical Report 399. Phase II of the project will use the Fatality Analysis Reporting System, the General Estimates System, and the Louisiana Crash Data to identify areas in which Louisiana has poorer safety performance than it's peer states, and then establish a model that relates the condition in these safety areas with human, roadway, and vehicle factors.
Cost-effective data collection for Metropolitan Transportation Organizations in Louisiana This study investigates the transferability of transportation planning data, the use of small local panels to update transferred data, and the application of GPS-technology to the collection of travel data. The transferability of trip rates, mode shares, and trip length distributions from the National Personal Transportation Survey of 1995 and the North Central Texas Council of Governments Survey of 1996 to Baton Rouge, Louisiana, were tested by comparing their values with those of a local survey conducted in 1997. A local panel of 108 survey respondents were surveyed in late 1998 and early 1999 using random digit dialing recruitment and a new form 'daily organizer' type mail-out, mail-back diary. Travel data was collected using a dashboard mounted GPS instrument in vehicles of colleagues and acquaintances. Procedures were developed to interpret the GPS information collected and to prepare it for presentation in a GIS.
EDUCATION 1983 Ph.D. Northwestern University 1972 M. Eng. University of California - Berkeley 1968 B. Eng. Pretoria University
PROFESSIONAL REGISTRATION Member, American Society of Civil Engineers. Professional Engineer, Louisiana
ACADEMIC/PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE 2000-present, Associate Professor, Louisiana State University. 1993-2000, Research Associate Professor, Louisiana State University. 1989-1993, Partner, Transportation Research Consultancy, South Africa. 1985-1988, Professor, Rand Afrikaans University, South Africa. 1973-1978, 1983-1984, Researcher, Council for Scientist and Industrial Research, South Africa. 1968-1970, 1972-1973, Engineer-in-training, Consulting Civil Engineers.
COURSES
CE 7600 Transportation Engineering Data Collection Methods
CE 7610 Traffic Operations and Control
CE 7621 Mass Transit Systems
CE 7640 Transportation Policy and Planning
CE 7641 Urban Transportation Planning Models
CE 4750 Professional Issues and Concept Design in Civil Engineering
CE 2730 Computational Methods in Civil Engineering
LIST OF SELECTED PUBLICATIONS
Fu, H., C.G. Wilmot, H. Zhang, and E.J. Baker, Modeling the Hurricane Evacuation Response Curve. Transportation Research Record, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, (In Press).
Fu, H., C.G. Wilmot, and E.J. Baker, A Sequential Logit Dynamic Travel Demand Model and it’s Transferability. Transportation Research Record 1977, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, 2007 pp. 17-24.
Fu, H., and C.G. Wilmot, Survival Analysis-Based Dynamic Travel Demand Models for Hurricane Evacuation. Transportation Research Record 1964, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, 2006. pp. 211-218.
Wilmot, C.G., and N. Meduri. Methodology to Establish Hurricane Evacuation Zones. Transportation Research Record 1922, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, 2005. pp. 129-137.
Wolshon, B. E. Urbina, C.G. Wilmot, and M. Levitan. Review of Policies and Practices for Hurricane Evacuaton. I: Transporation Planning, Preparedness, and Response. National Hazards Review, Vol. 6, No. 3, American Society of Civil Engineers, August, 2005. pp. 129-142.
Wolshon, B. E. Urbina Hamilton, M. Levitan, and C.G. Wilmot. Review of Policies and Practices for Hurricane Evacuaton. II: Traffic Operations, Management, and Control. National Hazards Review, Vol. 6, No. 3, American Society of Civil Engineers, August, 2005. pp. 143 -161.
Wilmot, C.G., and B. Mei, Neural Network Modeling of Highway Construction Costs. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Vol. 131, No. 7, American Society of Civil Engineers, July, 2005. pp.765-771.
Li, X.G., G.Q. Li, S.S. Pang, M.A. Stubblefield, and C.G. Wilmot, Traffic Capacity Under Air Quality Constraints. Advances in Transportation Studies, Section B 6, July, 2005. pp. 73-84.
Fu, H., and C.G. Wilmot, A Sequential Logit Dynamic Travel Demand Model for Hurricane Evacuation. Transportation Research Record 1882, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, 2004. pp. 19-26.
Wilmot, C.G., and B. Mei. Comparison of Alternative Trip Generation Models for Hurricane Evacuation. National Hazards Review, Vol. 5, No. 4, American Society of Civil Engineers, November, 2004. pp. 170-178.
Dheenadayalu, Y., B. Wolshon, and C.G. Wilmot, “Analysis of Link Capacity Estimation Methods for Urban Transportation Planning Models”, Journal of Transportation Engineering, Vol. 130, No. 5, American Society of Civil Engineers, September/October, 2004. pp. 568-575.
Deis, D.R., H. Scheider, C.G. Wilmot, and C.H. Coates, Jr. A Simulation Approach to In-House Versus Contracted Out Cost Comparisons. Journal of Public Procurement, Vol. 4, No. 1, 2004. pp. 43-66.
Wilmot, C.G., D. Deis, and R. Xu. Assessing Outsourcing Potential in a State DOT. Journal of Public Procurement, Vol. 4, No. 1, 2004. pp. 22-42.
Wilmot, C.G., and G. Cheng, “Estimating Future Highway Construction Costs”, Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, Vol. 129, No. 3, American Society of Civil Engineers, May, 2003. pp. 272-279.
Wilmot, C.G., and P.R. Stopher, “Transferability of Transportation Planning Data”, Transportation Research Record 1658, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, 2001. pp. 36-43.
Stopher, P.R., and C.G. Wilmot, "Development of a Prototype Time-Use Diary and Application in Baton Rouge, Louisiana", accepted for publication, Transportation Research Record, Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, 2001.
Wilmot, C.G., and B.N. Naghavi, “Evaluating the Performance of Existing Local Transportation Funds”, State and Local Government Review, vol. 32, no. 1, Winter 2000. pp. 70-78.
Wilmot, C.G., and M. Khanal, “A Review of the Effect of Speed Limit on Speed and Safety”, Transport Reviews, vol. 19, no. 4, October/December, 1999. pp. 315-330.
Wilmot, C.G., D.R. Deis, H. Schneider, and C.H. Coates, Jr., “In-House versus Consultant Design Costs in State Departments of Transportation”, Transportation Research Record 1654, Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, August, 1999. pp. 153-160.
Stopher, P.R., H.M.A. Metcalf, C.G. Wilmot, A.J. Catalina, and Charles C. Schimpeler, “Estimating Patronage for a Feasibility Study of High-Speed Rail in Thailand”, Transportation Research Record 1691, Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, November, 1999. pp. 12-18.
Wilmot, C.G., P.R. Stopher, X. Chen and S.R. Vaikuntum, “Viability of Remote Sensing on Two-Lane Roads”, Journal of Transportation Engineering, vol. 124, no. 1, American Society of Civil Engineers, Jan/Feb, 1998. pp. 35-41.
Wilmot, C.G., “Evidence on transferability of trip generation models”, Journal of Transportation Engineering, vol. 121, no.5, American Society of Civil Engineers, 1995. pp. 405-410.
Wilmot, C.G., “Application of a simplified land use transportation planning process in a developing region”, Proceedings of the ASCE Transportation Congress, San Diego, October 22-26, 1995. Volume 2, pp. 1399-1411. |
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